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NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER and
CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER and
CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CTR NHC

National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration

National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration

Updated Tue, 27 Oct 2026 23:15 UTC (just now)

Tropical Storm Vance

As of 2:00 PM MST Tue Oct 27

2 hr & 15 min ago

Max Sustained Winds: 40 mph
Location: Pacific - ABOUT 290 MI...465 KM WSW OF MANZANILLO MEXICO ABOUT 280 MI...450 KM SW OF CABO CORRIENTES MEXICO
Movement: NW at 9 mph
Minimum Pressure: 1003 mb

...VANCE HOLDING STEADY OFFSHORE OF SOUTHWESTERN MEXICO...

Maximum sustained winds are near 40 mph (65 km/h) with higher gusts. Little change in strength is forecast during the next couple of days, and Vance could become a post-tropical cyclone during this time if it is unable to sustain organized convection.

VIEW KEY MESSAGES (en Español)

5-Day Expected Cone Graphic for Vance

News of the Day & Outlooks

NOAA predicts below-normal 2026 Atlantic hurricane season
Forecasters with NOAA’s National Weather Service are predicting a below-normal hurricane season for the Atlantic basin this year.
NHC Products and Services Update for 2026 Hurricane Season (PDF)
A comprehensive look at the improvements coming this year to the NHC website (hurricanes.gov).

Preparedness Resources

It only takes one storm. Use this quiet period to review your plan.

Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook (Static Images)

JavaScript is currently disabled in your browser or you are using an older browser that is incompatible with this map. To view the interactive map, please enable JavaScript or update your browser if possible. Direct links to the latest high-resolution forecast images are provided below:

2 Day Background

7 Day Background

2 Day Background

7 Day Background

2 Day Background

7 Day Background

View Full Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook | Marine Products

Atlantic - Caribbean Sea - Gulf of America

Tropical Weather Outlook

7-day formation potential of weather disturbances.

Updated 800 PM EDT Tue Oct 27 2026 En Español

Tropical Weather Discussion

Technical analysis of current basin-wide conditions.

Updated 0015 UTC Wed Oct 28 2026

There are no tropical cyclones in the Atlantic at this time.

Eastern North Pacific
(East of 140°W)

Tropical Weather Outlook

7-day formation potential of weather disturbances.

Updated 500 PM PDT Tue Oct 27 2026 En Español

Tropical Weather Discussion

Technical analysis of current basin-wide conditions.

Updated 2205 UTC Tue Oct 27 2026

Tropical Storm Vance

...VANCE HOLDING STEADY OFFSHORE OF SOUTHWESTERN MEXICO...

Current Stats
as of 2 hr & 15 min ago

2:00 PM MST Tue Oct 27

Location: 17.2°N 108.3°W
Moving: NW at 9 mph
Min pressure: 1003 mb
Max sustained: 40 mph

View All Storm Products

Other Resources

Satellite Buoys Grids Storm Archive

Advisories & Forecasts

Public Advisory #26 2 hr & 15 min ago • 200 PM MST

ES

Adviso Publico #26 hace 2 h y 15 min • 200 PM MST

Forecast Advisory #26 2 hr & 15 min ago • 2100 UTC

Forecast Discussion #26 2 hr & 15 min ago • 200 PM MST

ES

Pronóstico Discusión #26 hace 2 h y 15 min • 200 PM MST

Wind Speed Probabilities #26 2 hr & 15 min ago • 2100 UTC

Maps & Graphics

Mensajes Claves

Wind Speed Probabilities

Arrival Time of Winds

Interactive Cone

Warnings/Cone Static Images

Warnings/Cone Interactive Map

Experimental Cone Static Images

Experimental Cone Interactive Map

Warnings and Surface Wind

Rainfall Potential

Central North Pacific
(140°W to 180°)

Tropical Weather Outlook

7-day formation potential of weather disturbances.

Updated 200 PM HST Tue Oct 27 2026

There are no tropical cyclones in the Central Pacific at this time.

Building Your Hurricane Knowledge Kit

National Hurricane Center Track Forecast Cone (2026)

Building Your Hurricane "Knowledge" Kit: Storm Surge Warning

Building Your Hurricane "Knowledge" Kit: Potential Tropical Cyclones

Tropical Cyclone Names

Tropical Waves

Super Intelligence (SI) in Hurricane Forecasting

Building Your Hurricane "Knowledge" Kit: Tropical Weather Outlook

Building Your Hurricane "Knowledge" Kit: Time of Arrival

Building Your Hurricane "Knowledge" Kit: Wind Speed Probabilities

Building Your Hurricane "Knowledge" Kit: Saffir-Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale

Building Your Hurricane "Knowledge" Kit: Storm Surge Watch

National Hurricane Preparedness Week Preview: Assembling Your Hurricane "Knowledge" Kit

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