Eastern North Pacific Tropical Weather Discussion

000
AXPZ20 KNHC 020405
TWDEP 

Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
0405 UTC Mon Nov 2 2026

Tropical Weather Discussion for the eastern Pacific Ocean from
03.4S to 30N, east of 120W including the Gulf of California, and
from the Equator to 30N, between 120W and 140W. The following
information is based on satellite imagery, weather observations,
radar, and meteorological analysis.

Based on 0000 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
0350 UTC.

...INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...

The monsoon trough extends from 09N84W to 07N110W to 10N140W. 
Scattered moderate isolated strong convection is noted from 01S
to 12N E of 100W, and from 03S to 14N between 103W and 135W.

...OFFSHORE WATERS WITHIN 250 NM OF MEXICO...

A weakening and leading cold front extends from central Arizona
SW to Punta Eugenia where it starts to dissipate. A trailing cold
front has entered Baja California Norte and extends from Tijuana
SW to 30N126W. Fresh to stron SW winds are ahead of the leading
front N of 29N with moderate seas to 6 ft. North of front fresh
NW winds and seas to 4 ft are present. Aside from the northern 
Gulf of California, moderate NNW winds and moderate seas to 7 
ft, are affecting the Baja California offshores N of Punta 
Eugenia. Fresh to near gale force N to NE gap winds, and rough 
seas to 9 ft are over the the Gulf of Tehuantepec. Elsewhere, 
light to gentle winds and moderate seas to 6 ft prevail, except 
slight seas over the central and southern Gulf of California.

For the forecast, fresh to strong N gap winds, and rough seas to
8 ft, over the Gulf of Tehuantepec will decrease Mon morning. A 
cold front over the Baja California Norte offshore waters will 
move across the Gulf of California and east of the area by Mon 
morning. Fresh to strong winds, and moderate seas to 6 ft, over 
the northern Gulf of California ahead and following the front 
will decrease through Mon morning. High pressure will build in 
the wake of the front. The pressure gradient between this area of
high pressure and low pressure over Mexico will support moderate
to fresh northerly winds in the Gulf of California as well as 
offshore the Baja California peninsula through midweek. Long 
period NW swell will build seas to 8 to 9 ft N of Cabo San Lazaro
Tue night into Thu. 

...OFFSHORE WATERS WITHIN 250 NM OF CENTRAL AMERICA, COLOMBIA, 
AND WITHIN 750 NM OF ECUADOR...

Fresh to strong NE winds and seas of 8 ft are over and 
downstream the Gulf of Papagayo to near 90W. Moderate or weaker 
winds and moderate seas in SW swell are elsewhere. Otherwise,
scattered heavy showers and tstms are across the offshore waters
between Colombia and Costa Rica. 

For the forecast, fresh to strong NE to E gap winds over the 
Gulf of Papagayo region will diminish to moderate or weaker 
speeds by Mon evening. Low pressure may develop SW of Costa Rica 
late Tue and is forecast to bring an increase in winds and seas 
over the waters off Costa Rica and Panama into early Fri morning.

...REMAINDER OF THE AREA...

A weakening and leading cold front extends from central Arizona
SW to Punta Eugenia where it starts to dissipate to 22N122W. A 
trailing cold front has entered Baja California Norte and extends
from Tijuana SW to 30N126W. Moderate NNE winds, and seas of 7-8 
ft are from 20N to 27N extending to 135W. From the ITZC to 20N
and W of 106W, winds are moderate from the ENE and seas are
moderate. Elsewhere, winds are ligh to gentle with slight to 
moderate seas.

For the forecast, the front will shift east of the discussion
area tonight, with winds and seas decreasing. A new cold front 
is forecast to enter the NW waters on Mon, which will be 
followed by fresh to strong winds and long period NW swell 
resulting in very rough seas to 13 ft over the far NW waters. The
front will move eastward and dissipate Tue night west of the 
Baja California offshore waters. NW swell generated from the 
frontal system will spread SE, bringing rough seas over much of 
the waters N of 10N and W of 120W by midweek.

$$
Ramos